Monday, August 4, 2014

NFC East Preview


Last week, the Sports Guys previewed the AFC. Now it’s time to turn our attention to the NFC, the stronger of the two conferences. We’ll begin with the NFC East, one of the toughest divisions to predict annually.

NFC East

Division Winner: Philadelphia Eagles

Division Cellar: New York Giants

Other Playoff Teams: None

1. Philadelphia Eagles
2. Dallas Cowboys (Andrew) or Washington Redskins (Greg)
3. Washington Redskins (Andrew) or Dallas Cowboys (Greg)
4. New York Giants

Andrew – Of all the divisions in the NFC, this one is potentially the most balanced, but it’s also the most mediocre. I view these teams as fairly even, but wouldn’t classify any as elite. Philly seems to be the best bet for the playoffs due to solid play on both sides of the ball. Dallas can’t play defense, Washington has a lot of new pieces to work in, and New York was bad last year and I don’t see that changing. All four QB’s have a chance to be solid (as we’ve seen in the past), but none are locked in as elite players. They have a lot to prove!

Greg – This division should be better this year than last, but will still be one of the weaker divisions in football. The Giants brought in a brand new OC and their offense could be weak during the first half of the year, but should flourish as the year goes on. Look for rookie Andre Williams to break out as well. He looks to have more burst than the rest of their RB corps. The Redskins should be better offensively as well, as long as RGIII continues to improve. Their defense should be better too. The Cowboys have already started selling playoff tickets, so there are at least a few people in this country rich enough to waste money. I give them about a 5% chance of making the playoffs. The Eagles will be the class of the NFC East, as the offense should really take off in year 2 under Chip Kelly. The defense should be good enough to keep them from losing games.

Preseason Division Awards

Offensive MVP: Lesean McCoy (Philadelphia) or Nick Foles (Philadelphia) – One way or another, we expect Philly to light it up on offense. Andrew believes it will be because McCoy carries them all year (as he did last year). Greg thinks Foles will continue his high level of play that he ended the last season with.

Defensive MVP: Brian Orakpo (Washington) – When Orakpo re-signed in the offseason, Washington fans rejoiced because this man is special. So now can he back up the hype?

Rookies to Watch: Odell Beckham Jr. (New York), Jordan Matthews (Philadelphia), Andre Williams (New York), Demarcus Lawrence (Dallas)

Free Agents to Watch: Desean Jackson (Washington), Darren Sproles (Philadelphia), Henry Melton (Dallas), Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie (New York)

By: The Sports Guys

Friday, August 1, 2014

Ranking the "Big 3's" of the NBA

The league as a whole has gained depth and star power, and due to that, teams have been doing the "Big 3 Strategy" more and more for the last decade. The Spurs have had great success with Duncan, Parker, and Ginobili for the longest time (and still do). The Celtics made a huge splash when they acquired Garnett and Allen to join Pierce in Boston. Of course, the most well known "Big 3" quickly became Lebron, Wade, and Bosh four years ago. A lot of teams in the league are now trying to copy this trend.

So just for fun, we're picking a "Big 3" for every team in the league, and ranking them 1 - 30. These rankings are grouped into categories too, as there are similar situations across the NBA landscape. Let's check it out:

The "Incomplete"

30. Minnesota Timberwolves: Ricky Rubio, Nikola Pekovic, and ___________ - I'm not including Kevin Love in this exercise because he's sure to be dealt somewhere soon (likely Cleveland), and until he gets dealt, Minnesota is a team without an identity. In fact, the next year or two will tell us a lot about the direction they are headed... Exactly whom will they get for Love? Will they re-sign Rubio? Who will they take with their own draft picks and those they acquire?

29. Los Angeles Lakers: Kobe Bryant, Julius Randle, and Jeremy Lin? - Kobe would be a great piece to a "Big 3" that's trying to win now (assuming he's healthy). Randle would be a great piece to a "Big 3" that's trying to win down the road. But there are few other players (Boozer?) on the roster that could fit into either category. So I guess that leaves Jeremy Lin, as he'll at least be a star on some level... Linsanity in Hollywood!!!

28. Boston Celtics: Rajon Rondo, Jeff Green, and Avery Bradley OR Marcus Smart, James Young, and Jared Sullinger - Nobody knows if Boston is trying to build around Rondo to win now, or if they will build around Smart to win down the road. I'm utterly confused by the roster personally. Pick a direction!

The "Future"

27. Philadelphia 76ers: Michael Carter-Williams, Nerlens Noel, and Joel Embiid - This is actually a pretty good core to build around, except Noel missed all of last season due to injury, and Embiid could do the same this year. Still a couple years away then I guess...

26. Orlando Magic: Victor Oladipo, Elfrid Payton, and Aaron Gordon - This is one of the most athletic "Big 3's" already, with massive upside, particularly on defense. But they'll struggle to score consistently, and I still don't know what position Gordon will play.

25. Milwaukee Bucks: Jabari Parker, Giannis Antetokounmpo, and Brandon Knight - I absolutely love what the Bucks have in Jabari and the "Greek Freak", but I'm not sold on Knight. The talent is there but not sure he has a position. So in the next year, look for the Bucks to upgrade that third future piece, or maybe Knight (or Henson or Sanders) will blossom even more under Jason Kidd's coaching.

24. Utah Jazz: Gordon Hayward, Trey Burke, and Dante Exum - Honestly I could have had Favors and/or Kanter in this threesome over the guards, but they aren't utilized as heavily in Utah as these perimeter players will be. Hayward just got his first big deal (max), Burke nearly won Rookie of the Year last season, and Exum is a top 5 pick that has as much upside as anyone. In Summer League, I watched Exum and Burke share the court, which is a good sign for Utah.

The "Misfits"

23. Detroit Pistons: Josh Smith, Andre Drummond, and Greg Monroe (assuming he re-signs) - These three big men are talented. In fact, they'd be ranked way higher on this list if I was simply ranking talent. But they don't mesh together well at all. Josh Smith isn't a good enough shooter to play the 3, but all three are good enough to demand seeing the floor. Something needs to give.

22. Phoenix Suns: Goran Dragic, Eric Bledsoe (assuming he re-signs), and Isaiah Thomas - All three players are extremely productive, but all three are point guards. It's one thing to play two of them together (as Phoenix did last year), but all three can't be on the court at the same time. Seems like they should have spread their money around better. Oh, and Eric Bledsoe needs to shed the injury bug.

The "Re-Shaped"

21. Denver Nuggets: Kenneth Faried, Ty Lawson, and Aaron Afflalo - Denver continues to tweak the roster, this time bringing back Aaron Afflalo. He's a decent fit for a team with a ton of good players, but no great ones. It will be interesting to see if they keep the team constructed this way or make a splash by trading for a much needed star.

20. Sacramento Kings: DeMarcus Cousins, Rudy Gay, and Darren Collison - Collison is a downgrade from Isaiah Thomas in terms of scoring, but his defense, leadership, and team-centered approach will be refreshing to a "selfish" team. He'll also serve as a nice role model for the young backcourt players such as McCallum, McLemore, and Stauskas.

19. New York Knicks: Carmelo Anthony, Amare Stoudamire, and Jose Calderon - By acquiring Calderon, the Knicks solved their problems at point guard in terms of leading a team offensively, but this is still a squad that can't play defense. Amare is also vastly overpaid which killed them in free agency this summer, and now Carmelo is overpaid too. There's always next summer...

18. New Orleans Pelicans: Anthony Davis, Jrue Holiday, and Omer Asik - Trading for Asik moves Davis back to power forward where he should thrive. That's big. But Jrue must stay healthy this season (as does Eric Gordon, Tyreke Evans, Ryan Anderson, etc) for the Pelicans to truly push for the playoffs.

The "Injury-Prone"

17. Brooklyn Nets: Deron Williams, Joe Johnson, and Brook Lopez - This is a highly paid group that rarely gets on the floor together. Last season, Lopez and Williams spent a lot of time in suits recovering from injury. That's not what the Nets paid for.

16. Atlanta Hawks: Jeff Teague, Paul Millsap, and Al Horford - Injuries continue to slow down Horford's career. Most believe he could be a great player if he could put some consistent time on the court over a few seasons. If he can stay healthy this time around, Atlanta could be a fairly dangerous team in the East.

The "Up and Coming"

15. Toronto Raptors: Kyle Lowry, DeMar DeRozan, and Jonas Valanciunas - Now that Lowry signed on for another stint, the Raptors immediate future seems pretty bright. They even surprised many by claiming the third seed last year in the East. Lowry and DeRozan were both All-Stars (or snubs) and Valanciunas essentially averaged a double-double. And they should only get better this year.

14. Washington Wizards: John Wall, Bradley Beal, and Marcin Gortat - Washington locked up their big man and kept the core of this team in place this summer. But their success will continually rest on the backcourt of Wall and Beal. They emerged as one of the most dangerous twosomes in the league last season, particularly with Beal's play towards the end. They complement each other perfectly.

13. Charlotte Hornets: Al Jefferson, Kemba Walker, and Lance Stephenson - By acquiring Stephenson from Indiana, Charlotte locked themselves into the playoffs for years to come. The scary thing is that all three of these guys continue to improve. Jefferson was dominant last season and Stephenson led the league in triple-doubles. Walker also thrived with better players around him, which continues even more now. MJ finally got some things right.

The "Good but not Great"

12. Memphis Grizzlies: Mike Conley, Marc Gasol, and Zach Randolph - Gasol is turning into a star, Conley is currently playing at his peak, but Randolph is suddenly old and over the hill. Randolph lacks explosion and his he's not near as effective as he once was. With that said, this core still keeps Memphis in the playoffs year and year, even in a loaded Western Conference.

11. Indiana Pacers: Paul George, David West, and Roy Hibbert - This group churned out two All-Stars in 2014, including a starter in George, plus West is considered the heart and soul of Indiana. At one point last season, George was clearly in the MVP discussion, and Hibbert was the clear Defensive Player of the Year. Then, the last couples months of the season happened, along with the playoffs, and this group suddenly lost their luster.

The "Offensive Dynamo's"

10. Dallas Mavericks: Dirk Nowitzki, Monta Ellis, and Chandler Parsons - This trio will score a ton of points this season. Despite Dirk's age, he can still get it done from any spot on the court. Ellis was surprisingly great in Dallas a year ago too. Parsons is the newbie, but he thrived playing alongside two stars in Houston. The question is can they defend? Not really, but that's why they also brought in Tyson Chandler.

9. Golden State Warriors: Steph Curry, Klay Thompson, and David Lee - The "Splash Brothers" are the best shooting duo in the league, and Lee is a double-double machine that finishes everything inside. I gave this trio the edge over Dallas though because they were a decent defensive unit a year ago. That goes a long way.

8. Houston Rockets: James Harden, Dwight Howard, and Trevor Ariza - I'm stereotyping a bit here, as Howard and Ariza are both fine 2-way players, but James Harden is simply great for his offense only. To be blunt, he's atrocious on defense, which is one of the reasons Houston is terrible as a team on that side of the ball. The main issue with their lack of 'D' isn't regular season wins, but it's the fact they can't make it out of the first round of the playoffs.

The "Big 2's, Plus a Third Good Player"

7. Portland Trailblazers: LaMarcus Aldridge, Damion Lillard, and Nik Batum - Batum is a pretty good player, but he's only ranked this high on the list due to the greatness of Aldridge and Lillard. Those two are flat-out studs which is why Portland surprised the league last season and made it into the second round.

6. Cleveland Cavaliers: Lebron James, Kyrie Irving, and Andrew Wiggins - Wiggins could be good, he could be bad, but he'll likely be traded (very soon). But James and Irving are absolutely great and will thrive in Cleveland. If (or rather when) they pull off the trade for Kevin Love, I believe Cleveland would then own the best "Big 3" in the league.

The "Veterans"

5. Miami Heat: Chris Bosh, Dwayne Wade, and Luol Deng - Yes, the Heat have a better big three than Lebron's new team... but not by much... and not for long. Wade is beginning his decline, and Bosh/Deng will likely be there in a few years. What I like about these guys though is that they are good on both ends.

4. San Antonio Spurs: Tim Duncan, Tony Parker, and Manu Ginobili - My apologies this decade's first "Big 3", but they aren't the best anymore. They still are on the best team, but that team includes Leonard, Splitter, Diaw, Mills, Green, etc. Duncan and Ginobili can still get it done, but this is likely their last year. I'm even seeing a slight decline now in Parker's play. Good thing they have Coach Pop.

The "Elite"

3. Chicago Bulls - Derrick Rose, Joakim Noah, and Pau Gasol - I'm a little hesitant ranking them this high because this will be Gasol's first season with the team. But he thrived with the Lakers in year one so I see the same happening here. I'm also hesitant with this ranking because I'm banking on a healthy Derrick Rose. But I'm reading reports out of Team USA camp, so I'm less worried now. Throw in the reigning Defensive Player of the Year, and you got yourselves a great "Big 3."

2. Los Angeles Clippers: Chris Paul, Blake Griffin, and DeAndre Jordan - Before last season, this was a "Big 2, Plus a Third Good Player." But Jordan emerged as a legit force in the post, especially on defense and on the glass. Griffin also took a huge step forward as an overall player, especially when CP3 was out on injury. Oh, and Chris Paul is still the best point guard in the league.

1. Oklahoma City Thunder: Kevin Durant, Russell Westbrook, and Serge Ibaka - The top choice was actually simple as Durant was MVP, Westbrook remains a Top 10 player, and Ibaka suddenly is an All-Star caliber big man (especially with his new consistent jumper). But can they get enough from other people to finally win a championship in 2015? We'll find out this year!

By: The Sports Guys

Thursday, July 31, 2014

AFC South Preview


The Sports Guys have been on a blogging hiatus for most of the summer. Nothing like NFL Camps starting to pull us back in. It’s time to predict the upcoming NFL season. Yesterday we covered the AFC North. Today we’ll look at the AFC South. This will complete our AFC preview, and we’ll cover the NFC next week.

AFC South

Division Winner: Indianapolis Colts

Division Cellar: Jacksonville Jaguars

Other Playoff Teams: None

1. Indianapolis Colts
2. Tennessee Titans
3. Houston Texans
4. Jacksonville Jaguars

Andrew – This is the worst division in the AFC as Indianapolis is the only good team. They’ll likely run away with it barring injury, and could have it clinched just after Thanksgiving. The other three teams are very tight however. All three have uneasy quarterback situations and have a lot of unknowns on offense. Defensively, all three could be solid though. Tough to predict spots 2-4.

Greg – The Colts will win this division again this year basically by default. Houston is the only team that has gotten significantly better, but they are still limited because Ryan Fitzpatrick can only take them so far.  The Texans should be good defensively, but the Colts offense and defense have taken a few steps forward. Barring catastrophic injuries, they should win their 3rd division title in a row.

Preseason Division Awards

Offensive MVP: Andrew Luck (Indianapolis) or Arian Foster (Houston) – Andrew is picking Andrew (Luck) this year because of the weapons he now has around him. The return of Wayne and Allen will help, and the additions of Nicks and Moncrief are big. Greg is banking on Foster returning to dominance under his new coach. The defense in Houston should be solid which will allow Houston to run a lot on offense.

Defensive MVP: J.J. Watt (Houston) – No question about this pick as he’s the best in the business. He could be even scarier this year with defenses now accounting for Clowney as well.

Rookies to Watch: Jadeveon Clowney (Houston), Marqise Lee (Jacksonville), Bishop Sankey (Tennessee), Donte Moncrief (Indianapolis)

Free Agents to Watch: Ryan Fitzpatrick (Houston), D’Qwell Jackson (Indianapolis), Toby Gerhart (Jacksonville), Shaun Phillips (Tennessee)

By: The Sports Guys

Wednesday, July 30, 2014

AFC North Preview


The Sports Guys have been on a blogging hiatus for most of the summer. Nothing like NFL Camps starting to pull us back in. It’s time to predict the upcoming NFL season. Yesterday we covered the AFC West. Today we’ll look at the AFC North. We will cover a different division each day this week and next.

AFC North

Division Winner: Baltimore Ravens (Andrew), Pittsburgh Steelers (Greg)

Division Cellar: Cleveland Browns (Andrew), Baltimore Ravens (Greg)

Other Playoff Teams: Cincinnati Bengals – Wildcard #2 (Andrew)

Andrew:                                            Greg:

1. Baltimore Ravens                       1. Pittsburgh Steelers
2. Cincinnati Bengals                      2. Cincinnati Bengals
3. Pittsburgh Steelers                     3. Cleveland Browns
4. Cleveland Browns                      4. Baltimore Ravens

Andrew – If the AFC West is the best division in the AFC, the North is the most balanced. This is the one division that I struggled picking a winner, but also picking the correct order of finish. The Ravens had a great offseason, which put them on top in my opinion, but the Bengals are still solid and the Steelers could return to form. The Browns also got a lot better, but the impending suspension of Josh Gordon will really hurt the offense.

Greg – This division reminds me of the NFC East from about five years ago.  All four teams are fairly solid, but none of them are really spectacular. They will beat up on each other, as they usually do, but the Steelers mix of young offensive and defensive talent will lead them back to the top of the division.

Preseason Division Awards

Offensive MVP: AJ Green (Cincinnati) or Le’Veon Bell (Pittsburgh) – Greg and Andrew are again in disagreement. Andrew thinks AJ Green is the best skill position player in this division easily. His production will get Cincy back into the playoffs. Greg thinks Bell will breakout as the workhorse in Pittsburgh. In fact, Greg thinks Bell will carry them to the division title.

Defensive MVP: Vontaze Burfict (Cincinnati) or Lardarius Webb (Baltimore) – In a division known or defense, there are a lot of intriguing options. Andrew likes Burfict, one of the league’s best tacklers. Greg likes Webb, who is one of the better cornerbacks in the league.

Rookies to Watch: Johnny Manziel (Cleveland), CJ Mosley (Baltimore), Ryan Shazier (Pittsburgh), Jeremy Hill (Cincinnati)

Free Agents to Watch: Steve Smith (Baltimore), Ben Tate (Cleveland), Miles Austin (Cleveland), LeGarrette Blount (Pittsburgh)

By: The Sports Guys

Tuesday, July 29, 2014

AFC West Preview


The Sports Guys have been on a blogging hiatus for most of the summer. Nothing like NFL Camps starting to pull us back in. It’s time to predict the upcoming NFL season. Yesterday we covered the AFC East. Today we’ll look at the AFC West. We will cover a different division each day this week and next.

AFC West

Division Winner: Denver Broncos

Division Cellar: Oakland Raiders

Other Playoff Teams: San Diego Chargers – Wildcard #1 (Greg and Andrew)

1. Denver Broncos
2. San Diego Chargers
3. Kansas City Chiefs
4. Oakland Raiders

Andrew – This is clearly the best division in the AFC, as they have the best team in the conference (Broncos), and two wildcard teams from last year (Chiefs and Chargers). Even the Raiders have a chance to be decent with some of their moves this offseason. Despite that, there is a definitive top team, and that team is led by Peyton Manning.

Greg - The Broncos have improved on offense, even with the loss of Eric Decker, and they should be better in Peyton Manning year #3. Every team improved with the exception of Kansas City who I think got a little worse with all of the players they lost. Oakland had an excellent draft, and has a chance to make the playoffs with a few wins over San Diego and Kansas City.

Preseason Division Awards

Offensive MVP: Peyton Manning (Denver) – This was the obvious answer, even though he won’t match last year’s totals.

Defensive MVP: Justin Houston (Kansas City) – Many good options, but Houston helps anchor the division’s best defensive unit.

Rookies to Watch: Khalil Mack (Oakland), Cody Latimer (Denver), De’Anthony Thomas (Kansas City), Jason Verrett (San Diego)

Free Agents to Watch: DeMarcus Ware (Denver), Maurice Jones-Drew (Oakland), Donald Brown (San Diego), Emmanuel Sanders (Denver)


By: The Sports Guys