The Very First NCAA Basketball Top 25 for 2018-19

Congratulations to the Villanova Wildcats, who won their second national title in three years. They were consistently great all season, and to me were the clear top team all tournament long. Jalen Brunson is likely ending his career as one of the best players ever at Villanova, and Jay Wright continues to climb up the all-time coaching ranks. They truly deserved this one.

March Madness once again proved to be the best sports drama in the world. Loyola was clearly an epic story. We all love Sister Jean now and who saw them coming out of the South? But let’s not forget that we saw the first ever #16 vs. #1 upset, when UMBC took out Virginia! Not only were the Cavs a #1 seed, but they were also the top overall seed. As always, we saw upsets, breakout performances, and buzzer beaters. To be honest, the whole season was as unpredictable as ever. Quite a ride for all college basketball fans, despite the controversy surrounding the sport…

But this year is done; so let’s look ahead. This early poll is VERY early (posted a minute after the championship game), which means it will change before November and the start of the season. There will be NBA decisions (to go or stay), more coaching changes, transfers in and out, recruiting and signings (some big names are still unsigned), and even injuries. These things will ultimately determine what happens in the first official poll before the season, but let’s take an early look now:

Really Early 2018-19 College Basketball Top 25

NOTE: Previous ranking in first parenthesis (from the last AP poll). 2017-18 record in the second parenthesis.

1. (2) Villanova Wildcats (36-4)

The National Champs start as my preseason favorite. Every key contributor could return, but my guess is Bridges and Brunson will declare for the NBA Draft. That’s it though. Two top 50 wings will help soften those blows, and Jahvon Quinerly is a five-star point guard that will replace Brunson. The interior duo of Spellman and Paschall could be the best in basketball next year, and I expect DiVincenzo to become an absolute star, just like he was in the championship game. Jay Wright, one of the best in the business, will keep this program rolling.

2. (4) Kansas Jayhawks (31-8)

Kansas is right on Villanova’s heels for the top spot, but just like we saw in the Final Four, I trust the current Villanova system slightly more than Kansas. As for the roster, we know Graham and Mykhaliliuk graduate, both of which are huge losses. Newman, Vick, and Azubuike face difficult NBA decisions however, and that’s where the roster uncertainty comes in. The bench for Kansas will return and be ready to step up, and the Jayhawks will add a TON of talent. Three major transfers practiced with the team all year and will now be eligible (Charlie Moore and the Lawson brothers). Plus, Kansas has three McDonald’s All-American commits, a couple of which stood out in the recent all-star exhibition. Lastly, they are a finalist for Romeo Langford, the top uncommitted recruit in the country. Looks like another Big 12 title at the very least.

3. (19) Auburn Tigers (26-8)

The NCAA scandal rocked Auburn early this past year as sophomores Purifoy and Wiley were forced to sit out this season, and a dark cloud surrounded head coach Bruce Pearl. Anfernee McLemore also got injured late in the year and had surgery recently. Yet Auburn shocked everyone and won the SEC during the regular season (tied with Tennessee). Next year, every single player returns, Purifoy and Wiley will return (at least for most of the year), and McLemore should be healthy by the start of the year. As for Pearl, their AD recently stated he plans on Pearl to still be his coach next year. Can’t believe I’m saying this, but Auburn is in the national title hunt.

4. (13) Tennessee Volunteers (26-9)

Tennessee surprised most this year with their tremendous level of play. They tied for the SEC title, finished in the top 15 nationally, and were named a #3 seed in the NCAA Tourney. They could have been in the Final Four had Loyola missed their last second shot against them. The good news is that they should be even better this coming year. Every starter returns and all but one bench player does too. Schofield is testing the waters, but most expect him back. They don’t have any recruits coming in, but who needs them? I expect even bigger things for Tennessee this season.

5. (9) Duke Blue Devils (29-8)

Coach K has turned Duke into a “one and done” powerhouse, and this year will be a prime example. Duke may lose its entire starting lineup to the draft (Allen is the lone graduate), but they are adding the best recruiting class in the country. In fact, it’s the first time ever that the top three players have all committed to the same place. Not even Kentucky has done that! Barrett, Williamson, and Reddish are those players, but they also add #1 point guard Tre Jones as well. So they will be young, but boy will they be talented!

6. (8) Gonzaga Bulldogs (32-5)

Stop me if you heard this before… Of all the non-power conference teams, Gonzaga has the best chance at winning a national title next season. Surprising right? Williams and Melson are both key losses, but the Bulldogs should return everyone else. Perkins/Norvell make up an electric backcourt duo, and Hachimura/Tillie create a dynamic frontcourt. Add in a good transfer player and two solid recruits and Mark Few has more than enough skill to compete at the highest level again.

7. (18) Kentucky Wildcats (26-11)

This is a team that has no seniors on the roster, but we all know there will be plenty that leave early. The question is who and how many? As for the replacements, the Wildcats currently have three commits, all five-star recruits. And Coach Cal is still involved with many of the top uncommitted players. So while I can’t predict the final roster, I can tell you that once again they’ll be loaded with talent.

8. (NR) Kansas State Wildcats (25-12)

Fresh off a run to the Elite 8, the Wildcats are set for a huge season. Every single player from that squad is set to return, barring what I’d consider a poor NBA decision by Dean Wade or anyone else. Barry Brown and Xavier Sneed really stepped up in the postseason, so I’d expect big years for both of them. This is one of the few teams that could realistically challenge Kansas atop the Big 12.

9. (1) Virginia Cavaliers (31-3)

After a shocking exit in their first March Madness game, it’s safe to say the season didn’t end well. On the flip side, who thought Virginia would be #1 and dominant heading into the season? Tony Bennett showed why he is one of the best coaches in the country, yet constantly goes under the radar. Next year, much of the perimeter will remain the same led by Guy and Jerome, but Virginia will miss a couple interior players in Hall and Wilkins. They don’t have a great recruiting class coming in, but they never do. Bennett will develop what he’s got and have them in the mix once again.

10. (10) North Carolina Tarheels (26-11)

North Carolina will have a different vibe about them next year due to their graduating seniors. Cam Johnson and Theo Pinson will be missed, but Joel Berry will be the biggest loss the Tarheels have had in a while. Their style of play will have to be adjusted slightly, and chemistry could be an issue early. But Luke Maye leads a list of talented returners, and Nassir Little is one of three highly touted recruits, two of which are five-star players. Once Roy Williams adjusts to his new roster, he’ll have them among the nation’s elite in no time.

11. (15) West Virginia Mountaineers (26-11)

WVU continues to churn out successful teams year after year under Bob Huggins. And while the graduation of Jevon Carter and Daxter Miles will hurt, I expect the Mountaineers to continue their winning ways. Everyone else returns, which includes one of the best defensive bigs and last names in the country: Konate! Esa Ahmad will be able to play the entire season this time around, point guard Brandon Knapper (highly touted freshman) will return to the team after missing the whole year with an injury, and the team adds a couple key recruits to provide depth. Lots to look forward to.

12. (24) Nevada Wolf Pack (29-8)

This Sweet 16 team will be back at it next year, hoping to build upon their successful season. Five of their top six players return, including Jordan Caroline and the exciting Martin brothers. All three of those players averaged over 14 points per game. In addition to their talented returnees, four transfers join the program. Despite playing for smaller schools, all four transfers averaged double digit points. Should be a massively talented bunch.

13. (NR) Virginia Tech Hokies (21-12)

Buzz Williams continues to improve this program, as was the case again this past season. Only one starter moves on, so the team will take another leap in the year to come. Robinson, Hill, Alexander-Walker, Clarke, and Blackshear highlight what should be a deep roster. A few good recruits will add to that depth, and a couple players should be back at full strength after missing the season due to injury/redshirt. After finishing in the top half of the ACC this past season, they are now threatening the top four.

14. (NR) UCLA Bruins (21-12)

You are looking at my preseason Pac-12 favorite next season, despite some uncertainty with the returning group. Welsh and Gyorgy graduate, Holiday has stated he’s gone, Hands is testing without an agent, and we still don’t know about Wilkes. Assuming Hands and Wilkes return (or at least one), this team will still have star power, and a lot of promising talent remains throughout the rest of the roster (Prince Ali for example). The team will welcome back two of the three “China Shoplifters,” both of which were top 100 players. UCLA also welcomes the second best recruiting class in the country, led by Moses Brown and Shareef O’Neal. So they will look different, but this is another loaded roster.

15. (5) Michigan State Spartans (30-5)

A year ago, we all thought Michigan State was going to be insanely good, especially when Bridges chose to return for his sophomore season. They won the Big Ten regular season, but fizzled in both the Big Ten Tourney and the NCAA Tourney. Now they are set to graduate a few contributors, and lose even more early to the NBA. But despite all that, they are still a contender for another Big Ten title. MSU was deep, so plenty of talent returns. The list should include Langford, Winston, McQuaid, Tillman, Goins, and Ward (testing the waters without an agent). Coach Izzo also welcomes a handful of freshmen that will provide plenty of bench production. This will give them depth to overcome the lack of All-American talent like they had this past season.

16. (11) Purdue Boilermakers (30-7)

Most think Purdue will take a major step backwards next year with four key seniors departing. But if Carson Edwards returns (he’s testing the waters), they should be a top threat once again in the Big Ten. Edwards, Cline, Eastern, and Haarms will all be ready for larger roles. Dowuona and Hunter are perfect freshman additions that I expect to contribute immediately. In addition, last week they secured a commitment from Evan Boudreaux, a grad transfer from Dartmouth. He’s a double-double threat that can shoot from the perimeter (a better rebounding Vincent Edwards). While I don’t expect 30 wins again, this will still be a good team.

17. (NR) Syracuse Orange (23-14)

The Orange were inconsistent this year, yet managed to creep into the NCAA Tourney, much to my surprise. Then, they won three games (including their First Four win), highlighted by an upset win over the mighty Spartans of Michigan State. The team possessed no scholarship seniors, which means everyone should return (although one little used reserve has stated he will transfer). Although they lost a top recruit to the G-League recently, they still bring in an impact player in Jalen Carey, ESPN’s #5 shooting guard. He will help provide some perimeter scoring, which they lacked this season. Things are looking up.

18. (NR) Mississippi State Bulldogs (25-12)

The Bulldogs finished seventh in the SEC this past year, pretty decent in a loaded league. They even made a deep run in the NIT before losing to the eventual champion Penn State. Every rotation player is on track to return, and the team is adding two extremely good recruits (one five-star). Expect an improvement once again from this squad.

19. (7) Michigan Wolverines (33-8)

Michigan is coming off a memorable season that included a Big Ten Tourney Title, and a trip to the National Championship Game. Abdur-Rahkman and Duncan Robinson graduate, and Moe Wagner will almost certainly go pro after a massive end to the year. But the role players on this team are all ready to step up, just like they do year after year under Coach Beilein. Simpson, Poole, and Matthews will comprise a terrific backcourt. The frontcourt will be a group effort, spearheaded by Isaiah Livers, Jon Teske, Ignas Brazdeikis (highly ranked international), and Brandon Johns (top 60 recruit). With an improved defense and a versatile offensive system, Michigan won’t drop off too much.

20. (NR) Alabama Crimson Tide (20-16)

Alabama has shown steady improvement under Avery Johnson, making the NCAA Tourney this past season. I expect another step forward in 2018-19. Whole Collin Sexton will head to the NBA, the rest of the postseason roster returns. Two players who missed the season due to injury could return also. In addition, three four-star recruits join the fray, which can help replace Sexton’s impact. At the very least, they should be a more consistent bunch in 2018-19.

21. (23) Florida Gators (21-13)

I was high on Florida in my early Top 25 last year, but then they lost Egbunu for the season to injury and Devin Robinson to the NBA Draft early (went undrafted). So I’m tempering my expectations this time around since they are graduating Koulechov and Chiozza. Jalen Hudson is testing the waters, but isn’t hiring an agent so he could return along with the rest of the roster. Florida has a top 15 recruiting class that features three top 100 recruits, all perimeter players that fit White’s four guard sets. At the very least, they should perform as well as they did this past season.

22. (6) Cincinnati Bearcats (31-5)

It’s hard to build off of what they accomplished this past season, but they are certainly in a spot to succeed again. Cincy played ten guys frequently this year, and seven of them return (assuming Evans remains in the draft). That already puts them ahead of most teams in the country in terms of quality contributors. Leading the way are starters Cumberland and Jenifer, both of whom will be among the best players in the AAC. It should be their league to win once again.

23. (NR) TCU Horned Frogs (21-12)

What a year for TCU, finally getting back to the “Big Dance.” It could have been even better had Jaylen Fisher not gotten injured a couple months ago. His return from injury will be a big boost heading into next season. While two impact players depart (Wlliams and Brodziansky), the majority of the rotation comes back led by Fisher. The newcomers come in a variety of ways: three four-star recruits, one international prospect, and one highly regarded juco. This all blends together to create a team with a lot of potential.

24. (NR) Oregon Ducks (23-13)

Oregon was slightly under the radar this past year, but they are coming off a solid 23-win season and a nice run in the NIT. In terms of minutes played, eight of their top nine guys return, including Pritchard, E. Brown, and T. Brown. All three averaged double figures. The reason they are ranked this high though is due to their incoming recruiting class. Bol Bol is the #1 center in high school, Louis King is a fellow five-star recruit, Will Richardson is the #8 PG in the country, and Miles Norris is yet another Top-100 player. They are in the mix for another star as well. The Ducks are back once again…

25. (14) Texas Tech Red Raiders (27-10)

Nobody saw Texas Tech coming this past season, but now they’ll be playing with bigger expectations. They are losing four seniors, notably Keenan Evans among them, but this was a deep and talented team, so plenty of contributors return. Zhaire Smith is a stud and could have a massive year.  Culver and Stevenson will emerge more and more as well. The team adds a couple four-star recruits, a JC transfer, and a Missouri transfer (second semester). While I don’t expect them to challenge Kansas at the top of the conference, they are a top half Big 12 team for sure.

Five “Wildcard” Teams

NOTE: These five teams are NOT the next five teams in my overall rankings (#’s 26-30). Instead, they are teams that have unknown circumstances surrounding them that could push them into the Top 25 or keep them out.

(22) Miami Hurricanes (22-10)

Miami should be solid no matter what, and a likely NCAA tournament team. They’ve developed a lot of good players that will be back, and add in a very good transfer in Miles Wilson. However, their top 25 status is very dependent on NBA decisions. They already lose Ja’Quan Newton to graduation, but could lose Lonnie Walker and Bruce Brown early to the draft. Brown is likely to hire an agent, while Walker is more of an unknown. Keep an eye on those names over the next couple months.

(NR) Texas A&M Aggies (22-13)

The Aggies were up and down this year, playing as a top ten team at times, and a lowly SEC pretender at other times. In the big dance, they routed North Carolina to make the Sweet 16, and then got blown out themselves by Michigan. While the team loses a couple pieces heading into next year, the NBA decisions will determine how good this team will be. Williams, Davis, Hogg, and even Gilder face NBA decisions. Williams is likely gone, and Davis said he’ll test the waters without an agent. This uncertainty lands them among my wildcard teams.

(NR) Indiana Hoosiers (16-15)

Indiana was very up and down this season, it’s first under Archie Miller. But the ‘D’, Archie’s calling card, improved dramatically from start to finish. At one point during the Big Ten season, KenPom had them as a top ten defense over the course of a ten game stretch. With All-Big Ten selection Juwan Morgan headlining the returnees (assuming he returns that is), and a solid recruiting class coming in, they are bound to improve. The reason they are a “wildcard” though hinges on their two remaining scholarships. If Romeo Langford commits (#5 overall player and has IU in his top three), they jump into my top 25 and become Big Ten title contenders. They are also in the grad transfer mix.

(NR) Vanderbilt Commodores (12-20)

Vandy struggled this season in a loaded SEC, plus they lose their top three players to graduation. But Bryce Drew is set to bring in a tremendous recruiting class. Two McDonald’s All-Americans have already committed (Garland and Shittu), along with another Top 100 player and Notre Dame transfer Matt Ryan. That’s still not enough to push them into my rankings; however, they are another finalist for Romeo Langford (mentioned above with Indiana), and that would push them over the edge.

(NR) Nebraska Cornhuskers (22-11)

Nebraska won a lot more overall games than I would have guessed prior to the year, and they had a great Big Ten record. Apparently nobody truly believed in them as they were snubbed by the committee and missed out on March Madness. Next year could be different, as nearly the whole roster could be back. In fact, they could return their top four scorers and top four rebounders. They have to dodge two bullets first though. James Palmer Jr. and Isaac Copeland, their best players, will test the NBA waters without an agent. If both return, they are on the verge of earning a top 25 ranking. If one or both depart, then never mind.

Previously Ranked (last AP Poll) and Considered: Xavier, Arizona, Wichita State, Ohio State, Clemson, Houston, St. Mary’s

Other Teams that Just Missed the Cut: Butler, Arizona State, Florida State, Arkansas, Penn State, Providence, USC, Louisville, Wisconsin, Maryland, Marquette, Missouri, Creighton, Texas

By: Andrew Miller

2018 NFL Mock Draft #4

Although it has not been that long on the calendar since my last mock draft, a ton has changed across the NFL landscape. When the league year opened in mid-March, a flurry of free agent signings, trades, and cuts happened, drastically changing the outlook for a lot of teams when it comes to the draft. Two trades involved some first round draft picks (Colts-Jets and Bengals-Bills), which alters a lot at the top of the first round. Major signings and trades involving players also had a profound impact on the direction teams now must go in April (not to mention how teams may fare during the season in 2018). It was fun to follow all the action, but the focus of a lot of teams is once again returning to the draft. Let’s dive in:

The Sports Guys 2018 NFL Mock Draft

First Round (Fourth Edition):

1. Cleveland Browns select: Sam Darnold (QB, USC)

3rd Mock: Saquon Barkley (RB, Penn State)

2nd Mock: Josh Allen (QB, Wyoming)

1st Mock: Sam Darnold (QB, USC)

Despite trading for Tyrod Taylor, the Browns will still be looking for their franchise QB in the first round. The Jets trade showed the Browns why they must make that selection here at #1, instead of waiting until #4. While I personally have Josh Allen as my top quarterback, I get the sense most teams consider Darnold to be the best option at this point, even if they are overreacting to his pro day in the “awful” conditions.

2. New York Giants select: Josh Allen (QB, Wyoming)

3rd Mock - Trade with Miami: Josh Allen (QB, Wyoming)

2nd Mock: Sam Darnold (QB, USC)

1st Mock: Josh Rosen (QB, UCLA)

The Giants are saying some things, but acting another way. They talk a big game when discussing a trade down in the first round, yet when given the chance to deal (cough, Jets, cough), the Giants stayed put and the Jets settled for the #3 pick instead. The only reason you don’t make that deal is you are taking your QB of the future. Sorry Barkley/Chubb, but the Giants aren’t staying put for a running back or edge rusher. That means Allen (my top QB) is Eli’s predecessor. If I’m dead wrong and they simply were holding out for more, then the Bills trade here for Allen. Either way he is the pick (or Darnold if Allen goes #1).

3. New York Jets (from Indianapolis) select: Josh Rosen (QB, UCLA)

3rd Mock (Colts) - Trade with Cleveland: Baker Mayfield (QB, Oklahoma)

1st and 2nd Mock (Colts): Bradley Chubb (Edge, NC State)

I disagree with this pick and would personally go with Mayfield, but Rosen seems to be the direction the Jets are leaning based on interactions I’ve seen. Mayfield and New York City probably wouldn’t be a good thing anyway. The Jets will take whoever is highest on their board obviously, and we know their board at this point is their top 3 QB’s. That’s why they moved up.

4. Buffalo Bills (via trade with Cleveland from Houston) select: Baker Mayfield (QB, Oklahoma)

3rd Mock - Trade with Indianapolis: Bradley Chubb (Edge, NC State)

2nd Mock - Trade with New York Jets: Baker Mayfield (QB, Oklahoma)

1st Mock: Minkah Fitzpatrick (S, Alabama)

The Jets trade has changed the perspective for Buffalo in a big way. They will try to move up to #2 for sure. However, if the Giants turn them down so they can take their future franchise QB, that will cause panic in Buffalo and they will overpay (both 1’s and a 2nd) for this spot to get the last of the elite QB’s. For what it’s worth, Mayfield is my #2 quarterback, not #4. Cleveland makes this deal and passes on Barkley since they signed Hyde in free agency, and will get a ton of talent with the picks they picked up at other positions.

5. Denver Broncos select: Saquon Barkley (RB, Penn State)

3rd Mock: Minkah Fitzpatrick (S, Alabama)

2nd Mock - Trade with Washington: Josh Rosen (QB, UCLA)

1st Mock: Saquon Barkley (RB, Penn State)

This would be the best way to support their new quarterback Case Keenum. Get your new quarterback a stud running back to make his job easier. They didn’t do anything of note at the position in free agency. But this fixes everything.

6. Indianapolis Colts (from New York Jets) select: Bradley Chubb (Edge, NC State)

3rd Mock (Jets): Sam Darnold (QB, USC)

2nd Mock (Jets) - Trade with Cleveland: Saquon Barkley (RB, Penn State)

1st Mock (Jets): Baker Mayfield (QB, Oklahoma)

Colts fans would be thrilled if this happens. Three extra second round picks over the next two drafts and you still get Chubb, the best edge rusher in this draft class and the guy I’ve picked for them at #3 for months. If the run on QB’s isn’t over with by this point, they could also move down again. But in this mock it ended at #4. Nelson is another solid choice.

7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers select: Minkah Fitzpatrick (S, Alabama)

3rd Mock: Quenton Nelson (G, Notre Dame)

2nd Mock: Minkah Fitzpatrick (S, Alabama)

1st Mock: Denzel Ward (CB, Ohio State)

Minkah could start for them at safety or corner, whichever they desire, but would immediately improve their secondary. He can tackle and stop the run, defend pass catchers extremely well, and get to the QB in blitzes off the edge. All of this would help Tampa Bay, especially in a division with Matt Ryan, Cam Newton, and Drew Brees.

8. Chicago Bears select: Quenton Nelson (G, Notre Dame)

3rd Mock - Trade with New York Giants from Miami: Josh Rosen (QB, UCLA)

2nd Mock: Denzel Ward (CB, Ohio State)

1st Mock: Mike McGlinchey (OT, Notre Dame)

Easiest pick yet... The Bears were active in free agency, but still have a hole at guard. They must fill it with a quality player to protect Trubisky and create enough gaps for the backs. Nelson is a top five talent that is a plug and play starter at the position. He was also coached by the Bears new offensive line coach at Notre Dame. Keep an eye on Harold Landry here, or one of the top linebackers too.

9. San Francisco 49ers select: Calvin Ridley (WR, Alabama)

3rd Mock: Roquan Smith (LB, Georgia)

2nd Mock: Quenton Nelson (G, Notre Dame)

1st Mock: Calvin Ridley (WR, Alabama)

While I don’t believe Ridley belongs in the top ten, I feel they may be forced into this pick. Garoppolo needs a top wideout in a bad way. Garcon and Goodwin are only complementary guys in my opinion. They weren’t able to reel in any of the big fish wideouts in free agency, but were able to improve their team in other ways. Ridley becomes a need-based pick due to these factors.

10. Oakland Raiders select: Denzel Ward (CB, Ohio State)

3rd Mock: Denzel Ward (CB, Ohio State)

1st and 2nd Mock: Roquan Smith (LB, Georgia)

The Raiders are in a good spot here with plenty of great options: Ward, Smith, Edmunds, and more. While I believe they would all be excellent fits, Ward fills a need and is also the highest player left on my board. Their secondary was weak a year ago, and got weaker in the offseason with some losses. They struck out in free agency with all the big name corners, but this makes up for it. They would hope he’s as impactful as last year’s top CB out of Ohio State: Lattimore.

11. Miami Dolphins select: Vita Vea (DT, Washington)

3rd Mock - Trade with Chicago: Tremaine Edmunds (LB, Virginia Tech)

2nd Mock: Tremaine Edmunds (LB, Virginia Tech)

1st Mock: Quenton Nelson (G, Notre Dame)

While I like both Smith and Edmunds better at linebacker for them, this is their best chance to replace Suh in the middle of their defensive line. Vea won’t give much in terms of a pass rush, but he’ll clog things up in the run game, and take on double teams allowing Wake/Quinn to get after it. Of course, Miami could be looking to move up for a QB like many other teams.

12. Cleveland Browns (via trade with Buffalo from Cincinnati) select: Roquan Smith (LB, Georgia)

3rd Mock (Bengals) - Trade with Los Angeles Chargers: Lamar Jackson (QB, Louisville)

2nd Mock (Bengals): Mike McGlinchey (OT, Notre Dame)

1st Mock (Bengals): Connor Williams (OT, Texas)

With Cleveland possessing so many picks in the first two rounds, best available should be the way to go after they traded back. Smith would start in year one at linebacker, and his tackling ability would come in handy against the run heavy teams in the AFC North.

13. Washington Redskins select: Harold Landry (Edge, Boston College)

2nd Mock - Trade with Denver: Isaiah Wynn (OL, Georgia)

1st and 3rd Mock: Derwin James (S, Florida State)

Washington has offered contracts to a few pass rushing outside linebackers over the last couple weeks, but nobody has actually accepted. Landry gives them an elite presence attacking on the outside, especially if you remember his production as a junior. Jackson and James are both great options also if they want to improve their secondary.

14. Green Bay Packers select: Josh Jackson (CB, Iowa)

3rd Mock: Marcus Davenport (Edge, UTSA)

2nd Mock: Connor Williams (OT, Texas)

1st Mock: Orlando Brown (OT, Oklahoma)

The Packers have lost a lot of secondary players this offseason (Burnett to Pitt, Randall traded, House unsigned). They tried adding Kyle Fuller, but the Bears matched their offer. An aggressive move would be trading up for Denzel Ward, but that’s not their style. Instead, Jackson gets the nod here as the second best cornerback in the draft.

15. Arizona Cardinals select: Derwin James (S, Florida State)

3rd Mock: Josh Jackson (CB, Iowa)

2nd Mock: Calvin Ridley (WR, Alabama)

1st Mock: Josh Allen (QB, Wyoming)

James should go much higher based on talent, but may fall based on need. If the Cardinals don’t pursue their franchise QB by moving up, they would love to instead improve their secondary, especially at CB opposite Peterson or at S to replace the “Honey Badger.” James is the ladder.

16. Baltimore Ravens select: Connor Williams (OT, Texas)

3rd Mock: Calvin Ridley (WR, Alabama)

2nd Mock: Orlando Brown (OT, Oklahoma)

1st Mock: Courtland Sutton (WR, SMU)

The Ravens must improve their offense, which includes the offensive line. Williams is an elite prospect, capable of playing multiple positions on the offensive line. I think he could play on the interior for Baltimore immediately, but could transition out if needed.

17. Los Angeles Chargers select: Tremaine Edmunds (LB, Virginia Tech)

3rd Mock - Trade with Cincinnati: Connor Williams (OT, Texas)

2nd Mock: Rashaan Evans (LB, Alabama)

1st Mock - Trade with Buffalo: Mason Rudolph (QB, Oklahoma State)

Don’t be surprised if this pick ends up being a quarterback, but the Chargers should look to add an immediate contributor to help them win right now. Edmunds, who could go much higher, would become an instant upgrade at linebacker that could improve the second level of their defense. He’s one of my favorite players in the draft.

18. Seattle Seahawks select: Marcus Davenport (Edge, UTSA)

3rd Mock: Isaiah Wynn (G, Georgia)

2nd Mock: Marcus Davenport (Edge, UTSA)

1st Mock: Derrius Guice (RB, LSU)

Seattle purged their roster and is rebuilding on both sides of the ball. Look for them to pick based on best available or most upside. That’s where Davenport comes in, an edge rusher with massive potential. He could be developed into a star, one that could replace Michael Bennett over time. Josh Jackson would be a home run here also if available (which he isn’t in this mock).

19. Dallas Cowboys select: Maurice Hurst (DT, Michigan)

3rd Mock: Vita Vea (DT, Washington)

2nd Mock: Josh Jackson (CB, Iowa)

1st Mock: Christian Wilkins (DT, Clemson)

Honestly, I don’t have a clue as to what Dallas will target in the draft. They suddenly have a lot of holes to fill, and free agency didn’t help them much in terms of filling them. Hurst gives them an interior disruptor, one that would help the defense on the front lines.

20. Detroit Lions select: Arden Key (Edge, LSU)

3rd Mock: Da’Ron Payne (DT, Alabama)

2nd Mock: Arden Key (Edge, LSU)

1st Mock: Clelin Ferrell (Edge, Clemson)

With Matt Patricia now coaching the team, I’m thinking defense will be their calling card, so look for an addition on that side of the ball. Key gives them huge upside on the edge, something they need despite the tagging of Ansah. If they do go offense, keep an eye on the trenches, as some of the best offensive linemen are still available.

21. Cincinnati Bengals (from Buffalo) select: Isaiah Wynn (G, Georgia)

3rd Mock (Bills): Rashaan Evans (LB, Alabama)

2nd Mock (Bills): Vita Vea (DT, Washington)

1st Mock (Bills) - Trade with Los Angeles Chargers: Rashaan Evans (LB, Alabama)

The Bengals already bolstered their offensive front by acquiring Cordy Glenn, but they won’t stop there, as they still need help in a major way. Wynn is one of the best linemen in the draft, a guy who played tackle in college but projects to be an elite guard in the NFL. Wynn and Glenn together would get the line back on track and help pave the way for Mixon and the rushing attack.

22. Cleveland Browns (via trade with Buffalo from Kansas City) select: Mike McGlinchey (OT, Notre Dame)

3rd Mock: Taven Bryan (DT, Florida)

2nd Mock: Mason Rudolph (QB, Oklahoma State)

1st Mock: Vita Vea (DT, Washington)

Joe Thomas has officially retired, which means Cleveland needs a new left tackle. In steps McGlinchey, a player once thought of as a top ten pick. He hails from Notre Dame, a program that has routinely spit out elite linemen.

23. Los Angeles Rams select: Rashaan Evans (LB, Alabama)

2nd and 3rd Mock: Harold Landry (Edge, Boston College)

1st Mock: Josh Jackson (CB, Iowa)

Ogletree and Quinn were traded away this offseason, creating some gaps in the front seven. Evans immediately fills the hole left at linebacker. I’m already dreaming about owning this defense in fantasy football this year...

24. Carolina Panthers select: Will Hernandez (G, UTEP)

3rd Mock: Mike Hughes (CB, UCF)

2nd Mock: Sam Hubbard (Edge, Ohio State)

1st Mock: Christian Kirk (WR, Texas A&M)

I’ve loved Hernandez ever since the Senior Bowl. Just watch his tape and try not to fall in love. He is a brute in the run game. Norwell was a free agent loss… a big one. Hernandez is a great replacement. Although the Panthers could go many different ways here.

25. Tennessee Titans select: Da’Ron Payne (DT, Alabama)

3rd Mock: Sam Hubbard (Edge, Ohio State)

2nd Mock: Derwin James (S, Florida State)

1st Mock: Arden Key (Edge, LSU)

The Titans made a free agent splash adding Malcolm Butler, but the defensive front needs to improve also. After losing Sylvester Williams, Payne becomes the perfect draft choice in the first round. When is adding an Alabama defender ever a bad thing though?

26. Atlanta Falcons select: Taven Bryan (DT, Florida)

3rd Mock: Maurice Hurst (DT, Michigan)

1st and 2nd Mock: Da’Ron Payne (DT, Alabama)

As you can see by this mock and the three previously, I’m expecting Atlanta to fill the Poe void with this selection. Seeing Payne go a pick before is painful, but Bryan is an underrated prospect that could end up being better.

27. New Orleans Saints select: Mason Rudolph (QB, Oklahoma State)

3rd Mock: Billy Price (G, Ohio State)

1st and 2nd Mock: James Washington (WR, Oklahoma State)

The Saints may take a player to help them win right now, but at some point they have to think about their future. Brees has a couple years left, but what will they do when he’s gone? Rudolph is their backup plan and future signal caller in this scenario.

28. Pittsburgh Steelers select: Justin Reid (S, Stanford)

2nd and 3rd Mock: Derrius Guice (RB, LSU)

1st Mock: Ronnie Harrison (S, Alabama)

The Steelers have been looking around at safeties, and having been expressing interest in Reid specifically. In my last mock, I had Pittsburgh trading up in the second round to take him, but now I think they’ll just take him in the first.

29. Jacksonville Jaguars select: Lamar Jackson (QB, Louisville)

3rd Mock: Courtland Sutton (WR, SMU)

2nd Mock: Will Hernandez (G, UTEP)

1st Mock: Billy Price (G, Ohio State)

Jacksonville is hoping nobody jumps back in ahead of them, as they would love to take Jackson to give them another option besides Bortles. While I think Bortles would win out in the short term, I think Jackson has more upside long term.

30. Minnesota Vikings select: Mike Hughes (CB, UCF)

3rd Mock - Trade with Minnesota: Kolten Miller (OT, UCLA)

2nd Mock: Alex Cappa (OT, Humboldt State)

1st Mock: Isaiah Wynn (OL, Georgia)

Minnesota could, possibly should, take an offensive lineman here. But Hughes is too talented to pass up for a defensive minded team like Minnesota. And when you are competing against Aaron Rodgers and Matt Stafford atop the NFC North, having capable corners is a necessity.

31. New England Patriots select: Leighton Vander Esch (LB, Boise State)

3rd Mock: Dallas Goedert (TE, South Dakota State)

2nd Mock: Isaiah Oliver (CB, Colorado)

1st Mock: Sam Hubbard (Edge, Ohio State)

If there were better options available, I’d be looking for a team to trade up into this spot. But I’m not seeing it in this scenario. So I have the Patriots taking an immediate starter at linebacker. Doesn’t have the upside of other picks, but is a sure contributor.

32. Philadelphia Eagles select: Kolton Miller (OT, UCLA)

3rd Mock: Mike McGlinchey (OT, Notre Dame)

2nd Mock: Mike Hughes (CB, UCF)

1st Mock: Kolton Miller (OT, UCLA)

Still think this is a tad high for Miller, but I think he’ll likely be drafted around this point in the draft. The Eagles may want even more depth in the secondary, but depth on the offensive line is more critical due to the protection of Wentz.

Second Round (Second Edition)

33. Cleveland Browns select: Isaiah Oliver (CB, Colorado)

3rd Mock - Trade with Indianapolis: Will Hernandez (G, UTEP)

They acquired Randall from Green Bay, but to play safety. Gaines was signed recently to play corner, but on a one year deal. Oliver gives them talent at the position long-term.

34. New York Giants select: Derrius Guice (RB, LSU)

3rd Mock: Sony Michel (RB, Georgia)

With the G-men taking a QB in the first round, they can add their running back now. Great value getting Guice at 34.

35. Cleveland Browns (from Houston) select: James Washington (WR, Oklahoma State)

3rd Mock - Trade with Minnesota: James Daniels (C, Iowa)

Landry, Gordon, and Coleman make up an explosive trio of wide receivers. But Landry has only signed on for a year, Gordon’s future is always in question, and Coleman hasn’t established himself yet. Quite simply, Washington gives them more talent that may be handy in the future.

36. Indianapolis Colts select: Ronald Jones II (RB, USC)

3rd Mock: Christian Kirk (WR, Texas A&M)

With three second round picks, the Colts can aggressively address multiple needs. While I like Marlon Mack, the Colts need another back to lean on this year. Jones has loads of potential.

37. Indianapolis Colts (from New York Jets) select: Courtland Sutton (WR, SMU)

3rd Mock (Jets): Isaiah Oliver (CB, Colorado)

There are plenty of quality receivers on the board, but Sutton has the makings of a star. I’ve projected him going first round in most mocks, but it didn’t fall that way this time. He’s an immediate starter opposite Hilton in Indy.

38. Tampa Bay Buccaneers select: Sony Michel (RB, Georgia)

3rd Mock: Arden Key (Edge, LSU)

The run on skill position players continues, as the Bucs select their starting running back (Martin is gone). Michel and his teammate Chubb were both considered here.

39. Miami Dolphins (via trade with Chicago) select: Dallas Goedert (TE, San Diego State)

3rd Mock: James Washington (WR, Oklahoma State)

A day 3 pick is worth it to trade up and snag the best tight end in the draft. Especially with Julius Thomas a free agent after a disappointing season with the team.

40. Denver Broncos select: Jaire Alexander (CB, Louisville)

3rd Mock: Ronald Jones II (RB, USC)

Talib’s replacement was Roby, and Roby’s replacement is now Alexander. He has a ton of potential, and needs to prove he can stay healthy.

41. Oakland Raiders select: Sam Hubbard (Edge, Ohio State)

3rd Mock: Leighton Vander Esch (LB, Boise State)

The Raiders could use more juice off the edge, and Hubbard was extremely productive for a great defense in college.

42. Chicago Bears (via trade with Miami) select: Lorenzo Carter (Edge, Georgia)

3rd Mock - Trade with New York Giants: Jaire Alexander (CB, Louisville)

Carter is a big, athletic freak of an edge rusher from Georgia that has produced a lot of quality players… such as Leonard Floyd who the Bears drafted a couple years ago. The Bears need a starter opposite Floyd though, so why not go back to the same well?

43. New England Patriots (from San Francisco) select: Orlando Brown (OT, Oklahoma)

3rd Mock: Lorenzo Carter (Edge, Georgia)

Despite a poor showing at the combine, Brown offers a lot of potential as a tackle in the NFL. With the Patriots losing Nate Solder this offseason, they will be looking for depth at the position. Brown is worth the risk in the second round.

44. Washington Redskins select: Michael Gallup (WR, Colorado State)

3rd Mock: D.J. Moore (WR, Maryland)

Second straight mock I’ve gone with a wide receiver in the second round for the ‘Skins. Doctson shows promise and Crowder is solid in the slot, but they need another quality pass catcher on the outside. Pryor flopped at the position last year, but Gallup is a more natural wideout.

45. Green Bay Packers select: Frank Ragnow (C, Arkansas)

3rd Mock - Trade with Arizona: Mike Gesicki (TE, Penn State)

The Packers still have some holes they are trying to fill in free agency, but they need young talent on the offensive line. It’s a unit that consistently breaks down and doesn’t protect Rodgers as well as they should. Ragnow would help change that, as he didn’t allow a single sack throughout his college career.

46. Cincinnati Bengals select: Hayden Hurst (TE, South Carolina)

3rd Mock: Hayden Hurst (TE, South Carolina)

Eifert is back, but only a one year deal. His injury history is worrisome enough that the Bengals will look to add a quality tight end as insurance. This is the second straight mock Hurst has gone here.

47. Arizona Cardinals select: Christian Kirk (WR, Texas A&M)

3rd Mock - Trade with Green Bay: Brian O’Neill (OT, Pittsburgh)

Jaron and John Brown are gone, and Fitzgerald is likely in his last season. Adding another playmaker at the position is critical. Enter Christian Kirk, a combine standout that can play on the outside or in the slot. He’s one of my favorite receivers in the draft, would be a great fit for Arizona, and presents tremendous value this late in the mock.

48. Los Angeles Chargers select: Ronnie Harrison (S, Alabama)

3rd Mock - Trade with Pittsburgh: Justin Reid (S, Stanford)

With Tre Boston a free agent, the Chargers will need to fill his spot through the draft (unless they tap into the secondary free agent market). Harrison could start for them immediately.

49. Indianapolis Colts (from New York Jets from Seattle) select: Billy Price (G, Ohio State)

3rd Mock (Jets): D.J. Chark (WR, LSU)

Colts fans constantly want improvements on the offensive line. This would make them happy. Price has been effective at three different spots on the offensive line, which makes him one of the best prospects in the draft. He would give them flexibility also to move guys around up front if desired.

50. Dallas Cowboys select: Donte Jackson (CB, LSU)

3rd Mock: Carlton Davis (CB, Auburn)

A lightning fast corner that would help improve a decimated secondary. What’s not to like?

51. Detroit Lions select: Nick Chubb (RB, Georgia)

3rd Mock: Nick Chubb (RB, Georgia)

The Lions want to improve at running back, despite adding Blount to a one year deal. Chubb had a breakout 2017 campaign, showing he can excel as a complimentary piece but is also capable of handling a larger workload.

52. Baltimore Ravens select: D.J. Moore (WR, Maryland)

3rd Mock: Simmie Cobbs (WR, Indiana)

Gone are Maclin, Wallace, Campanaro, and Whalen. Perriman has flopped and will be gone after this season. So despite adding Michael Crabtree and John Brown, Baltimore is still looking for another pass catcher. They recently missed out on Allen Hurns, but D.J. Moore would be a great addition here in the second round.

53. Cleveland Browns (via trade with Buffalo) select: Rashaad Penny (RB, San Diego State)

3rd Mock: Mason Rudolph (QB, Oklahoma State)

I had Cleveland passing on Barkley in the first round to acquire a pile of picks. This was one of those picks. Carlos Hyde and Duke Johnson are a fine pairing, but Penny gives them quality depth and a future starter. He could even force the Browns into releasing Hyde after the season ends.

54. Kansas City Chiefs select: Harrison Phillips (DT, Stanford)

3rd Mock: Malik Jefferson (LB, Texas)

Gives them a big body up front that is sorely needed.

55. Carolina Panthers select: Carlton Davis (CB, Auburn)

3rd Mock: Deon Cain (WR, Clemson)

Breeland was signed to start at corner, but his failed physical messed up those plans. Corner becomes a need early in the draft, and Davis fits nicely.

56. Buffalo Bills (from Los Angeles Rams) select: Marcell Ateman (WR, Oklahoma State)

3rd Mock: Harrison Phillips (DT, Stanford)

Ateman is a big body at 6’4, a nice compliment to Zay Jones, who they drafted a year ago. Newly acquired Baker Mayfield (#4 pick in this mock) needs people the throw it to. Ateman is a great choice.

57. Tennessee Titans select: Cedrick Wilson (WR, Boise State)

3rd Mock: B.J. Hill (DT, NC State)

Eric Decker didn’t give the team much last year, and now he’s a free agent. Wilson would be a nice complimentary receiver behind Matthews and Davis, especially since Davis and Sharpe struggled as rookies.

58. Atlanta Falcons select: Ogbonnia Okoronkwo (Edge, Oklahoma)

3rd Mock: Ronnie Harrison (S, Alabama)

Atlanta didn’t produce a ton of QB pressure last year, outside of Vic Beasley. They are expecting McKinley to take a step forward, but Okoronkwo provides quality depth. Losing Clayborn in free agency also makes this a logical selection.

59. San Francisco 49ers (from New Orleans) select: Kyzir White (S, West Virginia)

3rd Mock: Kyzir White (S, West Virginia)

I liked this White pick so much, I decided to do it again. The 49ers are in the market for a safety, and White fits them nicely.

60. Pittsburgh Steelers select: Jamarco Jones (OT, Ohio State)

3rd Mock - Trade with Los Angeles Chargers: Alex Cappa (OT, Humboldt State)

Pittsburgh lost Hubbard at tackle this offseason, so Jones simply takes his spot on the roster. Jones won out over Cappa and O’Neill, both solid options at this point in the draft also. Jones is a great pass protector, which fits well with Big Ben dropping back so often.

61. Jacksonville Jaguars select: Troy Fumagalli (TE, Wisconsin)

3rd Mock: Orlando Brown (OT, Oklahoma)

Lewis was a consistent, not flashy, tight end for the Jags. He was recently released creating a void. Fumagalli is a solid all-around player, that can make nice catches over the middle of the field, and is a better run blocker than most tight end prospects. That’s a key, as the running game fuels this offense.

62. Minnesota Vikings select: James Daniels (C, Iowa)

3rd Mock: Da’Shawn Hand (DT, Alabama)

Daniels could play multiple spots on the inside, and take over the center position long-term. Minnesota needs to protect it’s new prize QB (Cousins) and provide better running lanes for second year runner Dalvin Cook.

63. New England Patriots select: Mike Gesicki (TE, Penn State)

3rd Mock: Luke Falk (QB, Washington State)

I think Luke Falk or another quarterback could be an option, but that can wait until the third round. Gesicki is Gronk insurance, or a second tight end for double tight sets.

64. Cleveland Browns (from Philadelphia) select: Hercules Mata’afa (Edge, Washington State)

3rd Mock: Shaquem Griffin (LB, UCF)

Not only does he have a great name, but he offers upside rushing the quarterback from the inside or outside. With Myles Garrett garnering a lot of attention, Hercules could be a handy sidekick. To recap, the Browns in just the first two rounds came away with: Sam Darnold, Roquan Smith, Mike McGlinchey, Isaiah Oliver, James Washington, Rashaad Penny, and Hercules Mata’afa. That’s seven players, at seven different positions, that could all start within the next two years. That included a franchise quarterback. What a home run of a draft!

That wraps up the fourth mock draft for 2018. As you can see, free agency changed things up. One such way was filling certain holes, creating less opportunity for draft trades. At least in this mock that is. You never know what will happen in April...

By: The Sports Guys