Friday, January 31, 2014

Super Bowl Preview

The last day of the work week is here and according to the latest statistics, 50% of the country will leave work today and go home and have a normal, unspectacular weekend. The other 50% of the country, who claim to be NFL fans, will go home for the last weekend of football for the 2013-2014 season. There will be parties, food, friends, laughs and lots of meaningless talk by people who are too drunk or too ignorant to know any better.  Super Bowl weekend is here!

Prop bets will be at an all time high and are expected to be somewhere in the $5 billion dollar range worldwide. That's billion, with a B! Super Bowl weekend has come to be a huge cultural event spanning large groups of people with vast interests who come together for one weekend to watch a single game together. That's really what we're interested in... the game.

Greg

It is very rare in a season that you get to the end and the two teams playing are the two teams who have been, in their respective conferences, the two most dominant teams. Denver has been one of the most historically great offenses ever this season and are led by arguably the greatest QB of all time. Seattle fits into a different mold, with a run first offense and smash-mouth defense.

Ironically with all the storylines going on I believe the key to the game will be Seattle's offense vs. Denver's defense. Russell Wilson will not be able to have a mediocre game and win. I believe that Denver's defense will play it's best game of the season and force Wilson to beat them with his arm. Their run defense is stout enough to do so. Wilson is capable of doing it, and I do not believe he will play a bad game. But, I don't think it will be enough though and this is why:

In the only game that Seattle's defense has played this season against a QB that you could argue is even close to being "Elite", Andrew Luck and the Colts offense scored 34 points against them. Peyton Manning is better than that. The game is on the East Coast, which has been historically unkind to West Coast teams, and the Broncos defense will play better than the Colts defense because it is, as a whole, better. I'm not sure the Seahawks defense, as great as it is, will be capable of stopping Peyton Manning and the Broncos offense enough for them to win the game.

Broncos 30, Seahawks 24

Overall, it is a game of contrasts... #1 offense vs #1 defense. Poised vs Brash. Cocky vs Humble. Relatively old vs relatively young. Midwest vs West Coast. We are in for a treat. Enjoy the time with your friends and family, but most of all enjoy the game. It should be a great one.

Andrew

Greg hit on all the contrasts between the two teams. In fact, they are polar opposites, with opposite strengths. We obviously know it's offense vs. defense, but for Denver specifically it's their passing offense that is historically great. For Seattle, it's their passing defense that is specifically their strength. Denver's top offensive weapons are WR's, and Seattle's top playmakers play CB (that's you Dick... Sherman). It's amazing how it really will be strength vs. strength.

On the other side of the ball, we see the same thing. Denver's defense is considered their weakness and Seattle's offense is their achilles heel. But even within those matchups, strengths take on strengths. Seattle does excel in running the ball (Lynch is a "beast"), but Denver's defense is best at stopping the run. The Championship games may help preview this game for us...

New England was coming off a great game vs. the Colts in which they ran it down their throats. Then Denver straight up stopped their rushing attack. I think that happens this weekend. For Seattle, they played well but the game was still San Francisco's to lose. It took a terrible decision for Kaep at the end (and all 4th quarter) to keep San Fran from winning. Peyton Manning won't let Seattle off the hook that easy.

These two were the top two teams in my Power Rankings nearly the whole season. But I've said all year which team I thought was the best, so I too am picking the Broncos. The offense is too strong even for Seattle, and the defense will be able to contain the run decent enough. Manning will win ring #2 and become know as the greatest of all-time. I think the game will play out like we saw two weeks ago... Denver grabs a lead so Seattle is trailing. It will get tight in the fourth quarter, but Manning's efficiency, particularly on third down will be the difference and Denver will hold on.

Broncos 31, Seahawks 27

On a personal note, my wife and I are due with our second child tomorrow. I may be at the hospital watching this game, or may not be able to watch it at all. I am rooting for Denver, and am a big Manning fan. I hope everyone enjoys it too!

By: The Sports Guys

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