As
we’ve been previewing for a while now on this blog site, we’re ready to release
our EARLY 2013-2014 Preseason Rankings. Some sites already came out with their
early poll, but we waited until we got word on the NBA decisions and such.
Obviously, as the actual season approaches we’ll release our official preseason
poll, but it’s fun to get a head start.
Last
year our early poll was actually better than our real preseason poll. We pegged
IU and Louisville number 1-2 on each (fairly accurate), but in our early poll
we had Kentucky at 17, much better than our official poll, which pegged them third.
I guess something has to be said about what happens when you overthink
something. We pegged Kansas at #3 in our early poll, which seemed about right
given they were a 1-seed in the NCAA’s along with IU and Louisville. Michigan,
Ohio State, and Duke were 5/6/7, very accurate with how they ended the season.
Our only flaw in the early Top 10 was NC State at 4, and UCLA at 8, but at
least those teams made the tourney. Miami and Gonzaga would have been good
fill-ins instead.
Anyways,
along with each team’s ranking below, we’ll give you a projected starting
lineup for each team. Again, things may change as we approach the season, but
it will at least give you an idea of what things look like. It’s fun to project
some of that stuff too!
EARLY 2013-2014 NCAA Top 25
NOTE:
Previous ranking in parenthesis (from our final regular season rankings from
2012-2013).
NOTE:
There are multiple transfers eligible to play immediately that can have an impact on these rankings (Tarik Black, Eli Carter, Mike Moser, Josh Davis). Oh,
and there is a guy named Andrew Wiggins, who can shoot any team he joins up the
rankings. But we can’t wait forever on their decisions…
1. (NR) Kentucky Wildcats
How
do you go from being an unranked team that lost in the first round of the NIT
to the preseason #1 team? Recruiting! And nobody does it like Calipari. In
fact, not even Calipari has done it this well before. This recruiting class
could go down as the best of all-time and they still have three regulars from
last year’s squad. Sounds similar to 2011-2012 (i.e. National Champs).
PG Andrew Harrison, Freshman
SG Aaron Harrison, Freshman
SF Alex Polythress, Sophomore
PF Julius Randle, Freshman
C Willie Cauley-Stein, Sophomore
NOTE:
As scary as it sounds, they could still be adding Andrew Wiggins, the best
incoming freshman in the country. If that were the case, people would start
talking about a potential undefeated season.
2. (2) Michigan Wolverines
Once
Mitch McGary and Glenn Robinson III announced they would return, Michigan fans
cheered because they now have a great chance to get back to the Championship
Game. Not only do they have star power, but also they will be a fairly deep
team thanks to a mostly unchanged roster (Burke and Hardaway Jr. the only real
losses) and a nice recruiting class. There will be plenty of competition for a
starting spot…
PG Spike Albrecht
SG Nik Stauskas
SF Zak Irvin
SF Glenn Robinson III
C Mitch McGary
3. (13) Michigan State
Spartans
In
terms of a starting lineup, Michigan State will have one of the best in the
country. But they will lack depth, which keeps them ranked behind their
interstate foe Michigan, along with Kentucky. Getting Harris and Payne back
were obviously big, but they should get a healthier Brandon Dawson back too,
who is now a full year removed from knee surgery.
PG Keith Appling
SG Gary Harris
SF Denzel Valentine
SF/PF Brandon Dawson
C Adreian Payne
4. (1) Louisville Cardinals
Like
many other top programs, Louisville lost some key players. Peyton Siva is tough
to replace due to his tenacity and leadership. Gorgui Dieng is tough to replace
due to his size, defense, and ability to finish. But Russ Smith turned down the
NBA, Final Four hero Luke Hancock is back, Chane Behanan is due for a breakout
year, and they have plenty of returners and incoming players (PG Chris Jones is
the #1 JuCo player) to round out a winner. In Pitino I trust, especially after
last year.
PG Chris Jones
SG Russ Smith
SF Luke Hancock
PF Montezl Harrell
PF Chane Behanan
5. (18) Arizona Wildcats
Arizona
was deep a year ago, but they lacked supreme athleticism and a true point
guard. They won’t lack those things this year. Forwards Aaron Gordon and Rondae
Hollis-Jefferson join the team as freshmen, and PG T.J. McConnell is coming in
as a transfer from Duquesne. Sean Miller’s squad is a clear favorite in the
Pac-12, and they will have a great chance to get to the Final Four.
PG T.J. McConnell
SG Nick Johnson
SF Aaron Gordon
PF Brandon Ashley
C Kaleb Tarczewski
6. (8) Florida Gators
If
you’re looking for a bruising frontcourt, look no further than the Florida
Gators. Returning big men Patric Young, Will Yegete, and Casey Prather are
joined inside this year by freshman standout Chris Walker, and impact transfers
Dorian Finney-Smith (Virginia Tech) and Damontre Harris (South Carolina). They
may be thin at guard, but returner Scottie Wilbekin and their stud recruit
Kasey Hill will lead the way. This team will at least give Kentucky a challenge
in the SEC.
PG Kasey Hill
SG Scottie Wilbekin
SF Will Yegete
PF Dorian Finney-Smith
PF Patric Young
NOTE:
They are rumored to be the leader to land Rutgers transfer Eli Carter. If they
get him at a guard spot (where they are thin), Florida would move into the top
5, and potentially the top 3.
7. (21) Oklahoma State
Cowboys
After
nearly winning the Big 12 a year ago, the Cowboys look to be the early
favorites in the conference this season. They benefitted greatly from one of
the most unexpected decisions in recent memory, when Marcus Smart decided to
come back. He was a lock to be drafted in the Top 5, yet he will return.
Le’Bryan Nash and Markel Brown also turned down the NBA, so they look be set,
despite a think frontcourt.
PG Phil Forte
SG Markel Brown
SG Marcus Smart
SF Le’Bryan Nash
PF Michael Cobbins
8. (7) Ohio State Buckeyes
Had
Deshaun Thomas returned, I would have liked Ohio State as the second best team
in the country. His departure to the NBA creates a scoring void. The good news
is that they have a slew of guys to pick up the load. Their roster virtually
doesn’t change outside of Thomas (Ravenel graduated), so winning the Big Ten
Tourney in March was possibly a preview for next year.
PG Aaron Craft
SG Lenzelle Smith Jr.
SF Sam Thompson
SF LaQuinton Ross
C Amir Williams
NOTE:
The Buckeyes have been in the transfer mix, notably going after big man Tarik
Black. He would provide great minutes inside and potentially move them up
closer to the top 5.
9. (6) Duke Blue Devils
Let’s
get the bad news out of the way first. They lose their three best players in
Mason Plumlee, Ryan Kelly, and Seth Curry. The good news is that they return
everyone else, are adding standout freshman Jabari Parker (along with 4-star
players Matt Jones and Semi Ojeleye) and transfer Rodney Hood (Mississippi
State), and welcome back former starter Andre Dawkins from injury. Most
importantly, Coach K is still there… so yes, they will be good like normal.
PG Quinn Cook
SG Andre Dawkins
SF Rasheed Sulaimon
SF Jabari Parker
PF Amile Jefferson
NOTE:
Like Ohio State, Duke is thin inside but are considered one of the leaders for
Memphis transfer Tarik Black. He would give them the inside body they need to
approach the top 5 also.
10. (25) North Carolina
Tarheels
The
Tarheels are in that group of teams that celebrated when NBA decisions were
announced. Reggie Bullock did leave early, but their leading scorers P.J.
Hairston and James Michael McAdoo decided to return. They join everyone else
except graduate Dexter Strickland from a team that won 25 games. They are
adding an elite recruiting class with two great inside players, which is
exactly what they need. They will push Duke for an ACC title (sounds familiar
doesn’t it).
PG Marcus Paige
SG P.J. Hairston
SG Leslie McDonald
PF James Michael McAdoo
PF Isaiah Hicks
NOTE:
They are a finalist for the #1 ranked recruit Andrew Wiggins. His arrival could
take UNC as high as second in the country.
11. (NR) Connecticut Huskies
The
reason UCONN didn’t play in the NCAA’s this past season had nothing to do with
how they played last year. They were a tourney lock had they been eligible.
They will be eligible again this year and will make the most of it. All of
their key players return, including NBA hopefuls Shabazz Napier, Ryan
Boatright, and DeAndre Daniels. Welcome back!
PG Shabazz Napier
SG Ryan Boatright
SG Omar Calhoun
SF DeAndre Daniels
PF Tyler Olander
12. (NR) Baylor Bears
Baylor
lost their best player in Pierre Jackson. But Cory Jefferson and Isaiah Austin
chose to pass on the NBA and return for another season. They keep their NIT
Champion roster basically intact and are adding a few key players also. As long
as they can function adequately at point guard without Jackson, they will
remain a top-15 team all year long.
PG Gary Franklin
SG Brady Heslip
SF Rico Gathers
PF Cory Jefferson
C Isaiah Austin
13. (12) Georgetown Hoyas
Georgetown
was shockingly good in 2013 but they won’t sneak up on anyone now. Otto Porter
Jr. is gone, but everyone else returns including Greg Whittington who missed
the second half of the year due to suspension. UCLA transfer Josh Smith joins
them inside also to give them even more beef.
PG Markel Starks
SG D’Vauntes Smith-Rivera
SF Greg Whittington
PF Nate Lubick
C Mikael Hopkins
14. (3) Syracuse Orangemen
One
thing to remember about Syracuse is that Jim Boeheim always finds replacement
players. So even though they are losing Triche, Southerland, and
Carter-Williams, they will reload. It will be easier since C.J. Fair passed on
the NBA and will anchor their loaded frontcourt. If they can find consistent
guard play, they will remain a top-level team. Their zone defense helps too…
PG Tyler Ennis
SG Trevor Cooney
SF C.J. Fair
PF Rakeem Christmas
C Baye Keita
15. (NR) Tennessee
Volunteers
They
just missed the NCAA Tournament this season but it shouldn’t be a problem this
year. They return every key piece (thanks to Jarnell Stokes who passed on the
NBA), add one of the best guards in the country, and welcome back injured
forward Jeronne Maymon. They will be another solid team in the SEC.
PG Trae Golden
SG Jordan McRae
SF Josh Richardson
PF Jeronne Maymon
PF Jarnell Stokes
16. (23) Wisconsin Badgers
Wisconsin
lost three key players, but I never bet against them with Bo Ryan coaching. Sam
Dekker is due for a breakout year, Josh Gasser will return from injury, and
guards Ben Brust and Traevon Jackson will continue to get better. Their
weakness will be inside as Frank Kaminsky is the only proven player.
PG Traevon Jackson
SG Ben Brust
SG Josh Gasser
SF Sam Dekker
PF Frank Kaminsky
17. (22) VCU Rams
Shaka
Smart once again turned down bigger jobs to stay at VCU. The returning talent
is a big reason why. They return four of their top five scorers and have more
than enough depth to account for their two losses (Troy Daniels and Darius
Theus). Three names to remember: Treveon Graham, Juvonte Reddic, and Rob
Brandenberg.
PG Briante Weber
SG Treveon Graham
SG Rob Brandenberg
SG Melvin Johnson
PF Juvonte Reddic
18. (NR) Memphis Tigers
The
Tigers lost a lot more than expected… DJ Stephens graduated, Adonis Thomas went
pro, and Tarik Black and Antonio Barton decided to transfer. But they return
four key players and welcome in four top 100 players (3 in the top 33). Josh
Pastner knows how to reload similar to the coach he replaced (Calipari).
PG Joe Jackson
SG Geron Johnson
SG Chris Crawford
PF Austin Nichols
PF Shaq Goodwin
19. (NR) Iowa Hawkeyes
This
NIT runner-up will remain basically intact minus Eric May, only their sixth
leading scorer. They lacked marquee wins a year ago which kept them on the
wrong side of the bubble, but that won’t happen this time around. Roy Marble
and Aaron White have All Big-Ten upside so remember their names.
PG Mike Gesell
SG Roy Marble
SF Zach McCabe
PF Melsahn Basabe
PF Aaron White
20. (NR) Villanova Wildcats
Villanova
surprisingly made the NCAA Tournament last year as a 9-seed. They should be in
line for a much better seed in 2014. Only Yarou is gone from their core group,
but three newcomers should make them even better. If you don’t know him
already, pay attention to Ryan Arcidiacono who is fun to watch.
PG Ryan Arcidiacono
SG Darrun Hilliard
SF James Bell
SF JayVaughn Pinkston
C Daniel Ochefu
21. (5) Kansas Jayhawks
I
know, I know… they lost every starter. But Kansas regularly loses players
and doesn’t miss a beat. Future stars Naadir Tharpe and Perry Ellis are ready
to step up, and they also welcome freshman Wayne Selden and Joel Embiid (among others). They
will still compete for a Big 12 title like they do every year with Bill Self.
PG Naadir Tharpe
SG Andrew White III
SF Wayne Selden
PF Perry Ellis
C Joel Embiid
NOTE:
Kansas is another Andrew Wiggins finalist. As you can guess, they would move up
if they gain his services. They are also involved in the transfer pools, most
notably with former Memphis forward Tarik Black.
22. (10) Gonzaga Bulldogs
Despite
losing their frontcourt (Harris/Olynyk), Gonzaga will still be solid thanks to
returning their entire backcourt (Pangos, Bell, and Stockton). Mark Few has big
men ready to be plugged in and they are once again a tourney lock.
PG Kevin Pangos
SG Gary Bell Jr.
SG David Stockton
PF Sam Dower
C Przemek Karnowski
NOTE:
Gonzaga is a finalist for transfers Mike Moser (UNCV) and Josh Davis (Tulane).
One or both would significantly bolster the frontline and move them into the
top 15.
23. (NR) Colorado Buffaloes
Had
Andre Roberson not turned pro, this would be another top-15 sqaud. But he is
the only loss for a team that nearly won the Pac-12 en route to a tourney
appearance. Spencer Dinwiddie is a name to know this year.
PG Askia Booker
SG Spencer Dinwiddie
SG Jeremy Adams
SF Xavier Johnson
PF Josh Scott
24. (24) UCLA Bruins
New
coach Steve Alford inherits a roster loaded with talent. In fact, UCLA is more
talented than any team he coached at New Mexico, especially if Jordan Adams is back
and healthy after his injury. I know they lost Larry Drew II and Shabazz
Muhammed, but they return everyone else and welcome in a couple nice recruits.
This will also give versatile point forward Kyle Anderson more freedom to play
how he likes to play.
PG Jordan Adams
SG Norman Powell
SF Kyle Anderson
PF Travis Wear
PF David Wear
25. (11) Marquette Golden
Eagles
This
team ended up losing a lot… Cadougan, Lockett, and Otule graduated. Vander Blue
shockingly went pro. But key kogs Davante Gardner, Jamil Wilson, Todd Mayo,
Juan Anderson, and Steve Taylor Jr. return. The Golden Eagles also have a very
good recruiting class that will add key contributions immediately. Last year
showed us to never count Buzz Williams and company out.
SG Todd Mayo
SG JaJuan Johnson
SF Steve Taylor Jr.
PF Jamil Wilson
PF Davante Gardner
Next 10 Teams:
26.
Wichita State – Two of their best players graduated, but they do welcome back a
plethora of talent from their Final Four team. Some impact newcomers could help
them overcome the losses however.
27.
Harvard – After the big upset of New Mexico in the NCAA’s, Harvard returns
three double-digit scorers and adds back in their two best players who were
suspended last season (including star Kyle Casey).
28.
New Mexico – If Tony Snell had returned, this team would be in the top 20. But
with his NBA decision and Coach Alford now at UCLA, we had to start them just
outside the top 25. Everyone else is back however.
29.
Indiana – It was hard to leave this team out of the top 25 with some key
players back and a great recruiting class coming in. But in addition to losing
three graduates and two players to the NBA, two other veteran bench players (Remy Abell
and Maurice Creek) decided to transfer. That’s too many question marks for a Top 25 ranking.
30.
Boise State – Remember, this is a team that played in the NCAA Tournament
(First Four), and they only lost a role player in Kenny Buckner. This is a
program on the rise, and suddenly now it’s not only because of football.
31.
Virginia – Point guard Jontel Evans was a key loss, but everybody else is back
from a bubble team that just missed the NCAA Tournament. That includes Joe
Harris, who is one of the premier players in the ACC.
32.
Creighton – Doug McDermott is back which instantly makes them a contender in
their new conference, the Big East. If Grant Gibbs is granted a rare sixth
season of eligibility, this would likely be a top 25 team again.
33.
Alabama – Would have been ranked higher if Trevor Lacey had not recently
decided to transfer. They still welcome back six of their top seven scorers
(Trevor Releford being the best) and another starter in 7’0 Gueye. This team
won 23 games last year and should have more wins this time around.
34.
Arizona State – Jahii Carson passed on the NBA making them a sleeper team in
the Pac-12 this season. He’s really good, and most of his teammates are back
with him.
35.
Stanford – Another Pac-12 team that returns basically their entire roster. They
went 9-9 in the conference last year, could up that by a large margin.
Other NCAA Hopefuls: Notre Dame, St. Louis,
Oregon, California, Butler, Ole Miss, St. John’s, SD State, Purdue, Iowa State,
Massachusetts, Illinois, Vanderbilt, BYU, Pittsburgh, Kansas State, Minnesota,
Penn State, Maryland, Northwestern
Dropped from Previous Top 25:
Indiana, Miami,
Kansas State, Wichita State, St. Louis, New Mexico, Creighton, Oregon, Butler,
La Salle, Florida Gulf Coast
By:
The Sports Guys